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November CPI up to 6.1%

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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in November came out lower than market expectation, rising to 6.1%.

“The headline CPI annual inflation rate in November 2011 was 6.1%. This rate was 0.1 of a percentage point higher than the corresponding annual rate of 6% in October 2011,” said Statistics South Africa on Wednesday.

CPI breached the Reserve Bank’s target range of between three and six percent.

On average, prices increased by 0.3% between October 2011 and November 2011. The food and non-alcoholic beverages index increased by 0.5% between October 2011 and November 2011.

The market had expected consumer inflation to rise to 6.2%.

Nedbank economists expect inflation to continue on its upward trend in the coming months coming off a low base.  Higher food and administered prices are expected to remain the main drivers of inflation.

“It seems likely that the Reserve Bank will keep interest rates unchanged for most of 2012 unless evidence of second-round inflationary pressures emerge. For the moment, the Bank will continue to focus on the threat posed by the on-going European debt crisis and the adverse effects on domestic growth, particularly if the recession in Europe turns out to be more severe than many anticipate.”

Standard Bank economists said the door remained open for further interest rate cuts in 2012, given evidence of a slowdown in the domestic and global economy.

“However, we maintain our base case scenario that the SARB is likely to keep the repo rate unchanged at 5.5% next year.” – BuaNews

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Alan Straton

Chief Cook, Bottle Washer and Broom Mechanic at MyPE
Passionate about Port Elizabeth and definitely NOT packing for Perth. Alan's ethos is epitomised in the words of Nelson Mandela; "I have fought against white domination and I have fought against black domination. I have cherished the idea of a democratic and free society. If need be, it is an ideal for which I am prepared to die." See more articles by Alan.